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Measuring Momentum- the Dwyer Score of UFC 199: Luke Rockhold vs Michael Bisping

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UFC 199 comes in with an expectedly large Dwyer Score of +30, the main card contributing +22 to that figure, the FOX prelims +4 and the Fight Pass prelims also scoring +4. This is a big increase from last week’s +12 and actually makes UFC 199 the third-highest scoring event of the year (UFC 198: +43, UFC 197: +39) and hopefully this momentum will translate into a night of exciting fights on Saturday.

This card’s impressive score undoubtedly benefits somewhat from having two title fights at the top of the billing, although it’s actually the consistent high scorers fighting throughout the card (Max Holloway +8, James Vick +5, Dustin Poirier +3, Tom Breese +3) that build Saturday’s impressive Dwyer score, rather than over-relying on its headlining stars. In fact, one of those stars, Urijah Faber, comes in with a score of just +1, though in fairness Faber’s bantamweight-only streak would be +3 (and +9 in non-title bantamweight bouts!).

Not one fighter enters this card coming off consecutive UFC losses, with -1 being the lowest score any one individual brings to the event. The biggest momentum differential of the night is between Max Holloway (+8) and Ricardo Lamas (+1) although I think it’s fair to say that’s no indication of a gulf in class between the two top-ranked featherweights, and merely just a matter of timing.

 

The Big Contributors

Max Holloway +8 : Holloway puts the longest winning streak on the card, and the fourth-longest active winning streak in the UFC (including Georges St-Pierre as active) on the line on Saturday night. Holloway’s streak includes 6 finishes and 3 post-fight bonuses and is tied for seventh in the list of all-time longest UFC winning streaks. In Ricardo Lamas, Holloway is facing a man who will not be fazed by this momentum, as Lamas snapped a similar winning streak of Dennis Bermudez (+7) back in November 2014.

Luke Rockhold +5 : After 5 wins with 5 finishes by 5 different methods (TKO by body kick/punches, inverted triangle/kimura submission, guillotine choke, rear-naked choke and mounted punches TKO) Rockhold’s current form could not be much better heading into the event, and number 3 of those 5 victories was actually Saturday’s opponent, Michael Bisping. Since that fight, Bisping himself is 3-0, but has enough changed since their last fight to render a different outcome against the UFC middleweight champion?

Dominick Cruz +4 : I have to admit I was surprised this number was only +4. Cruz’s injury troubles are well-documented but it still was hard to believe January’s split decision victory over T.J. Dillashaw was only the UFC bantamweight champion’s fourth UFC bout (include WEC competition, however, and Cruz’s score shoots to +11). Cruz, 30 years old and 21-1 gets ready to face the “1” in that record for the third time this weekend in Urijah Faber, a 2007 submission loss that he avenged in his UFC debut back in 2011, and I can’t wait for the third simulated death match between the two.


Last 5 Dwyer Scores

  • UFC 199 Rockhold vs Bisping: +30
  • UFC FN Almeida vs Garbrandt: +12
  • UFC 198 Werdum vs Miocic: +43
  • UFC FN Overeem vs Arlovski: +16
  • UFC 197 Jones vs OSP: +39

The Dwyer score is a simple way of assigning a numeric value to the momentum of any one event. We can do this by assigning a figure to each fighter’s current streak. A fighter on a 3 fight win-streak contributes +3 to an event’s score. A fighter on a 2 fight losing-streak contributes -2 to the score. If you tally up the scores for every fighter on a card (only counting UFC fights) you get a total which gives you an idea of the form of fighters heading into that event.

As you may imagine Pay-Per-View events tend to have higher scores than Fight Nights, as fighters on longer winning streaks tend to be placed on bigger cards. For example, UFC: Rothwell vs Dos Santos was a +4 whilst UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor was a +62.

So what does this tell us? It cannot definitively measure the quality or excitement of any one specific event, however, it does give a value for a card’s momentum that is immune to the business side of MMA matchmaking. Events pitting fighters at the top of their game against each other will score well, events that fast-track fighters into main card slots or push too many immediate rematches will not.


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2017 IMMAF World Championships set to be streamed live on IOS and Android app

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This years IMMAF World Championships in Bahrain is only 4 days away now and competitors from around the world are preparing themselves for what will be an extraordinary event and opportunity to make themselves known. The prestigious event is being hosted by the BMMAF under the patronage of His Highness Shaikh Nasser bin Hamad Al Khalifa.

For fans around the world good news came today as they will be able to watch their favourite amateur athlete take to the cage in the Khalifa Sports City Arena via an app. The BahrainTV app will be streaming all of the fights live for fans to watch at home or even on the go on their phone. You can also keep up to date via MyNextMatch.com for all relevant info for the event.

The links for the BahrainTV app are as follows:

Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=bh.iaa.bahraintv&hl=en

IOS: https://itunes.apple.com/ie/app/bahrain-tv/id992105518?mt=8

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*Live Updates* UFC Gdsank Official Results

Harry Davies

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The UFC hosted their second event in the country of Poland, as UFC Gdsank took place at the Ergo Arena. The card was headlined by a welterweight fight between Donald Cerrone and Darren Till.

Cerrone (32-9) was coming off a close unanimous decision loss to former 170-pound champion Robbie Lawler in July. It was the only time in “Cowboy’s” MMA career that he had suffered consecutive losses.

Till (15-0-1) improved his undefeated record in September, defeating Bojan Veličković by unanimous decision. It was a case of old school vs. new school in this headliner, as the up and comer Till hoped to secure the biggest win of his career over Cerrone.


MAIN CARD – UFC Fight Pass – 8PM BST

  • Donald Cerrone (32-9) vs. Darren Till (15-0-1) – Welterweight bout
    • Result: Darren Till def. Donald Cerrone via TKO (punches) Round 1 – 4:20
  • Karolina Kowalkiewicz (11-2) vs. Jodie Esquibel (6-3) – Women’s strawweight bout
    • Result: Karolina Kowalkiewicz def. Jodie Esquibel via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
  • Jan Blachowicz (20-7) vs. Devin Clark (8-2) – Light heavyweight bout
    • Result: Jan Błachowicz def. Devin Clark via SUB (rear-naked choke) Round 2 – 3:02
  • Oskar Piechota (10-0) vs. Jonathan Wilson (7-3) – Middleweight bout
    • ResultOskar Piechota def. Jonathan Wilson via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

(more…)

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*Watch* Bellator 185 Weigh in: Live Stream, Results

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Watch the live weigh-ins for Bellator 185 here.

Gegard Mousasi takes on Alexander Slemenko live this Friday night October 20th at the Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville CT. This is the first appearance for Mousasi in the Bellator cage as he looks to secure a title shot with a win over the very tough former Bellator champion Slemenko. Joining these men of the main card will be a pair of welterweights as Neiman Gracie from the famous Gracie BJJ family takes on Zak Bucia in the co-main event.

Full Weigh-in Results: (Updated in real time)

Main Card:

Gegard Mousasi (185) vs. Alexander Shlemenko (186)
Neiman Gracie (170.5) vs. Zak Bucia (170)
Heather Hardy (126) vs. Kristina Williams (126)
Ryan Quinn (155.5) vs. Marcus Surin (155)
Ana Julaton (125.5) vs. Lisa Blaine (122)

Preliminary Card:

Jordan Young (200) vs. Alec Hooben (194)
Costello van Steenis (185) vs. Steve Skrzat (186)
Vinicius de Jesus (170) vs. Joaquin Buckley (171)
John Beneduce (154.5) vs. Dean Hancock (155)
Timothy Wheeler (144) vs. Pete Rogers (144)
Don Shainis (150) vs. Matthew Denning (149)
Frank Sforza (149) vs. Vovka Clay (150)
Kevin Carrier (156) vs. Jose Antonio Perez (153)
John Lopez (126) vs. Billy Giovanella (125)

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