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Measuring Momentum- the Dwyer Score of UFC 206: Max Holloway vs. Anthony Pettis

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UFC 206 Dwyer Score Preview

Saturday’s event, the UFC’s second show in 48 hours, checks in with a Dwyer Score of +23. It’s almost twice as high as the score of Friday’s Albany card (+12) and is tied in 6th place out of 2016’s twelve PPV events. It’s considerably higher than 2016’s average score of +13.2, though slightly beneath the +24.5 average for strictly PPV events.

Unsurprisingly, the highest individual contributor to the score on Saturday night is Max Holloway (+9). Only Anderson Silva, Jon Jones, Demetrious Johnson, George St. Pierre and Royce Gracie have put together longer winning streaks in UFC history.

The honours for the lowest scorer on the card are shared between four fighters; Matt Brown, Valérie Létourneau, Zach Makovsky and Dustin Ortiz (all -2). It doesn’t seem like any of these fighters (all of whom feature in the top 15 of their respective divisions) are facing the chopping block just yet.

The Breakdown

206

The Big Contributors

Max Holloway +9: Currently enjoying the longest winning streak in UFC featherweight history, Holloway’s winning run includes victories over Ricardo Lamas, Charles Oliveira, Jeremy Stephens and Cub Swanson. The Hawaiian has finished 6 of these 9 bouts, earning 3 fight night bonuses along the way. Holloway, who just turned 25 this week, takes on former UFC lightweight champion Anthony Pettis in the biggest fight of his career.

Nikita Krylov +5: 5 wins, 5 finishes. 3 in the first round, 2 in the second. 3 by submission, 2 by TKO/KO. Things couldn’t be going much better for Krylov at the moment, and his current streak includes 2 submission victories over BJJ black belts. He faces Misha Cirkunov on Saturday, who is himself on an impressive winning streak having gone 3-0 in UFC competition.

Donald Cerrone +3: 3-0 as a UFC welterweight, a victory here would see Cerrone pull level with George St. Pierre on 19 career UFC wins, behind only UFC middleweight champion Michael Bisping on 20. Cerrone is 12-0 to men not named Rafael dos Anjos since January 2013 and has 13 fight night bonuses (level with Anderson Silva) to his name. Around 2013/2014, Cerrone and Matt Brown were two of the most in-form fighters in the whole of the UFC and they will be favourites to take home the Fight of the Night award on Saturday.


Last 5 Dwyer Scores

UFC 206 Holloway vs. Pettis: +23

UFC FN Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov: +12

TUF Finale Johnson vs. Elliott: +18

UFC FN Whittaker vs. Brunson: -4

UFC FN Bader vs. Nogueira II: +15


Top 5 Dwyer Scores (all-time)

UFC 194 Aldo vs. McGregor: +62

UFC 165 Jones vs. Gustafsson: +47

UFC 205 Alvarez vs. McGregor: +46

UFC 178 Johnson vs. Cariaso: +44

UFC 198 Werdum vs. Miocic: +43


The Dwyer Score is a simple way of assigning a numeric value to the momentum of any one event. We can do this by assigning a figure to each fighter’s current streak. A fighter on a three fight win-streak contributes +3 to an event’s score. A fighter on a two-fight losing streak contributes -2 to the score. No Contests, Draws or bouts with other promotions reset your streak to 0. If you tally up the scores for every fighter on a card (only counting UFC fights) you get a total which gives you an idea of the combined momentum of fighters heading into a specific event.

As you may imagine, pay-per-view events tend to have higher scores than Fight Nights, as fighters on longer winning streaks tend to be placed on bigger cards. For example, UFC Fight Night: Ben Rothwell vs. Junior dos Santos was a +4, whilst UFC 194: José Aldo vs. Conor McGregor was a +62.

So what does this tell us? It cannot definitively measure the quality or excitement of any one specific event, however, it does give a value for a card’s momentum that is immune to the business side of MMA promotion. Events pitting fighters at the top of their game against each other will score well, events that fast-track fighters into main card slots or push too many immediate rematches will not.

 

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2017 IMMAF World Championships set to be streamed live on IOS and Android app

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This years IMMAF World Championships in Bahrain is only 4 days away now and competitors from around the world are preparing themselves for what will be an extraordinary event and opportunity to make themselves known. The prestigious event is being hosted by the BMMAF under the patronage of His Highness Shaikh Nasser bin Hamad Al Khalifa.

For fans around the world good news came today as they will be able to watch their favourite amateur athlete take to the cage in the Khalifa Sports City Arena via an app. The BahrainTV app will be streaming all of the fights live for fans to watch at home or even on the go on their phone. You can also keep up to date via MyNextMatch.com for all relevant info for the event.

The links for the BahrainTV app are as follows:

Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=bh.iaa.bahraintv&hl=en

IOS: https://itunes.apple.com/ie/app/bahrain-tv/id992105518?mt=8

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*Live Updates* UFC Gdsank Official Results

Harry Davies

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The UFC hosted their second event in the country of Poland, as UFC Gdsank took place at the Ergo Arena. The card was headlined by a welterweight fight between Donald Cerrone and Darren Till.

Cerrone (32-9) was coming off a close unanimous decision loss to former 170-pound champion Robbie Lawler in July. It was the only time in “Cowboy’s” MMA career that he had suffered consecutive losses.

Till (15-0-1) improved his undefeated record in September, defeating Bojan Veličković by unanimous decision. It was a case of old school vs. new school in this headliner, as the up and comer Till hoped to secure the biggest win of his career over Cerrone.


MAIN CARD – UFC Fight Pass – 8PM BST

  • Donald Cerrone (32-9) vs. Darren Till (15-0-1) – Welterweight bout
    • Result: Darren Till def. Donald Cerrone via TKO (punches) Round 1 – 4:20
  • Karolina Kowalkiewicz (11-2) vs. Jodie Esquibel (6-3) – Women’s strawweight bout
    • Result: Karolina Kowalkiewicz def. Jodie Esquibel via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
  • Jan Blachowicz (20-7) vs. Devin Clark (8-2) – Light heavyweight bout
    • Result: Jan Błachowicz def. Devin Clark via SUB (rear-naked choke) Round 2 – 3:02
  • Oskar Piechota (10-0) vs. Jonathan Wilson (7-3) – Middleweight bout
    • ResultOskar Piechota def. Jonathan Wilson via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

(more…)

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*Watch* Bellator 185 Weigh in: Live Stream, Results

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Watch the live weigh-ins for Bellator 185 here.

Gegard Mousasi takes on Alexander Slemenko live this Friday night October 20th at the Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville CT. This is the first appearance for Mousasi in the Bellator cage as he looks to secure a title shot with a win over the very tough former Bellator champion Slemenko. Joining these men of the main card will be a pair of welterweights as Neiman Gracie from the famous Gracie BJJ family takes on Zak Bucia in the co-main event.

Full Weigh-in Results: (Updated in real time)

Main Card:

Gegard Mousasi (185) vs. Alexander Shlemenko (186)
Neiman Gracie (170.5) vs. Zak Bucia (170)
Heather Hardy (126) vs. Kristina Williams (126)
Ryan Quinn (155.5) vs. Marcus Surin (155)
Ana Julaton (125.5) vs. Lisa Blaine (122)

Preliminary Card:

Jordan Young (200) vs. Alec Hooben (194)
Costello van Steenis (185) vs. Steve Skrzat (186)
Vinicius de Jesus (170) vs. Joaquin Buckley (171)
John Beneduce (154.5) vs. Dean Hancock (155)
Timothy Wheeler (144) vs. Pete Rogers (144)
Don Shainis (150) vs. Matthew Denning (149)
Frank Sforza (149) vs. Vovka Clay (150)
Kevin Carrier (156) vs. Jose Antonio Perez (153)
John Lopez (126) vs. Billy Giovanella (125)

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