Connect with us

Events

Measuring Momentum – The Dwyer Score of UFC Fight Night: Rory MacDonald vs Stephen Thompson

Published

on

This Saturday’s event in Ottawa has a Dwyer score of +5, ranking 6th amongst the 9 Fight Night events in 2016 and 13th out of all 16 events this year. This score is slightly below the average 2016 Fight Night score of +8.4 and checks in with the lowest momentum of any card since the Zagreb event back in April.

It’s easy to see where this card’s score suffers, as of the 24 fighters eligible to post a score for this event, 13 are coming in off at least one loss, and 3 fighters are coming in on losing streaks of 2 or greater. It’s not a card that lacks known fighters, as no fewer than 6 fighters on the card have fought for a UFC title in the past. For some context, the last Fight Night event, Cody Garbrandt vs Thomas Almeida had just 2 fighters who had competed for UFC gold, and even UFC 199’s PPV card had just 5.

The match-up containing the two fighters with the lowest combined momentum is Joe Soto (-3) vs Chris Beal (-2) in what surely is a loser-leaves-town match. The fight containing the biggest momentum differential on the card is the night’s main event, yet Rory MacDonald was just as happy with his -1 (2015’s fight of the year against Robbie Lawler) as Stephen Thompson must be with his current form of +6 heading into the event.

The Big Contributors

Stephen Thompson +6 : Riding a 6 fight win-streak that includes 4 stoppages, Wonderboy is also coming off the biggest win of his career, a first-round knockout of former champion Johny Hendricks, a man who previously hadn’t been stopped. If Thompson can make it +7 on Saturday against Rory MacDonald, he will surely be next in line for a title shot- an opportunity that many feel his last performance already warranted.

Rory MacDonald -1 : This is a huge fight for Rory MacDonald- it’s well documented that he and the UFC could not agree to terms on a new contract so MacDonald is heading into the final fight of this contract this weekend and will explore free-agency thereafter. The difference in entering free-agency off a win or a loss could be worth thousands in terms of contract offers but MacDonald, who has only lost to Robbie Lawler since 2010, will be confident in his ability to see out his contract on a high.

Patrick Côté +3 : Currently on a 3 fight win streak and a 2 fight TKO streak, Côté is 5-1 since moving to welterweight, his lone loss coming to the night’s headliner, Stephen Thompson. Côté has been on something of a veterans-tour as of late, defeating Joe Riggs, Josh Burkman, and Ben Saunders but a win over Donald Cerrone would possibly be the biggest victory of the Canadian’s career.


Last 5 Dwyer Scores

UFC FN MacDonald vs Thompson: +5

UFC 199 Rockhold vs Bisping: +30

UFC FN Almeida vs Garbrandt: +12

UFC 198 Werdum vs Miocic: +43

UFC FN Overeem vs Arlovski: +16


The Dwyer score is a simple way of assigning a numeric value to the momentum of any one event. We can do this by assigning a figure to each fighter’s current streak. A fighter on a 3 fight win-streak contributes +3 to an event’s score. A fighter on a 2 fight losing-streak contributes -2 to the score. If you tally up the scores for every fighter on a card (only counting UFC fights) you get a total which gives you an idea of the form of fighters heading into that event.

As you may imagine Pay-Per-View events tend to have higher scores than Fight Nights, as fighters on longer winning streaks tend to be placed on bigger cards. For example, UFC: Rothwell vs Dos Santos was a +4 whilst UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor was a +62.

So what does this tell us? It cannot definitively measure the quality or excitement of any one specific event, however, it does give a value for a card’s momentum that is immune to the business side of MMA matchmaking. Events pitting fighters at the top of their game against each other will score well, events that fast-track fighters into main card slots or push too many immediate rematches will not.


For the latest MMA news, live event coverage and more follow @mmalatestnws on Twitter.

Onnit Primal Bells

Events

*Live Updates* UFC Gdsank Official Results

Harry Davies

Published

on

The UFC hosted their second event in the country of Poland, as UFC Gdsank took place at the Ergo Arena. The card was headlined by a welterweight fight between Donald Cerrone and Darren Till.

Cerrone (32-9) was coming off a close unanimous decision loss to former 170-pound champion Robbie Lawler in July. It was the only time in “Cowboy’s” MMA career that he had suffered consecutive losses.

Till (15-0-1) improved his undefeated record in September, defeating Bojan Veličković by unanimous decision. It was a case of old school vs. new school in this headliner, as the up and comer Till hoped to secure the biggest win of his career over Cerrone.


MAIN CARD – UFC Fight Pass – 8PM BST

  • Donald Cerrone (32-9) vs. Darren Till (15-0-1) – Welterweight bout
    • Result: Darren Till def. Donald Cerrone via TKO (punches) Round 1 – 4:20
  • Karolina Kowalkiewicz (11-2) vs. Jodie Esquibel (6-3) – Women’s strawweight bout
    • Result: Karolina Kowalkiewicz def. Jodie Esquibel via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
  • Jan Blachowicz (20-7) vs. Devin Clark (8-2) – Light heavyweight bout
    • Result: Jan Błachowicz def. Devin Clark via SUB (rear-naked choke) Round 2 – 3:02
  • Oskar Piechota (10-0) vs. Jonathan Wilson (7-3) – Middleweight bout
    • ResultOskar Piechota def. Jonathan Wilson via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

(more…)

Onnit Primal Bells
Continue Reading

Announcement

*Watch* Bellator 185 Weigh in: Live Stream, Results

Published

on

Watch the live weigh-ins for Bellator 185 here.

Gegard Mousasi takes on Alexander Slemenko live this Friday night October 20th at the Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville CT. This is the first appearance for Mousasi in the Bellator cage as he looks to secure a title shot with a win over the very tough former Bellator champion Slemenko. Joining these men of the main card will be a pair of welterweights as Neiman Gracie from the famous Gracie BJJ family takes on Zak Bucia in the co-main event.

Full Weigh-in Results: (Updated in real time)

Main Card:

Gegard Mousasi (185) vs. Alexander Shlemenko (186)
Neiman Gracie (170.5) vs. Zak Bucia (170)
Heather Hardy (126) vs. Kristina Williams (126)
Ryan Quinn (155.5) vs. Marcus Surin (155)
Ana Julaton (125.5) vs. Lisa Blaine (122)

Preliminary Card:

Jordan Young (200) vs. Alec Hooben (194)
Costello van Steenis (185) vs. Steve Skrzat (186)
Vinicius de Jesus (170) vs. Joaquin Buckley (171)
John Beneduce (154.5) vs. Dean Hancock (155)
Timothy Wheeler (144) vs. Pete Rogers (144)
Don Shainis (150) vs. Matthew Denning (149)
Frank Sforza (149) vs. Vovka Clay (150)
Kevin Carrier (156) vs. Jose Antonio Perez (153)
John Lopez (126) vs. Billy Giovanella (125)

Onnit Primal Bells
Continue Reading

Bellator

Bellator 185- How to Watch, Times and Fight Card

Published

on

Bellator is once again heading to Mohegan Sun in Uncasville Connecticut, and this time they are bringing with them one of the most anticipated former UFC fighter turned Bellator stars’ debut. Gegard Mousasi will be making his first appearance in the Bellator cage against a former Bellator champion in Alexander Shlemenko. Although this event has lost some of its star power over the last several weeks, it is still stacked and you can bet that the main event will bring some fireworks.

Earlier in the month, it was announced that King Mo had suffered an injury that had forced him out of his co-main event fight with former middleweight champion Liam McGeary. Bellator worked quickly to secure a replacement opponent for McGeary in Bubba McDaniels. Unfortunately for McDaniels and the fans alike, McGeary had later suffered an injury of his own and the fight was removed from the card.

This left a spot open in the co-main event slot, which would be filled by a welterweight matchup between Brennan Ward and David Rickels. Just four days out from the fight, Bellator announced that Ward had also become injured and the fight has been removed from the card as well. The main card has been shuffled around and the welterweight bout between Neiman Gracie and Zak Bucia will now serve as the co-main event.

Main Card- Spike TV (US/Canada) Spike UK (UK)- 9 pm EDT, 6 pm PDT, 2 pm UK

  • Middleweight Main Event: Gegard Mousasi (42-6-2) vs. Alexander Shlemenko (56-9, 1 NC)
  • Welterweight Feature Bout: Neiman Gracie (6-0) vs. Zak Bucia (18-8)
  • Women’s Flyweight Feature Bout: Heather Hardy (1-0) vs. Kristina Williams (Debut)
  • Lightweight Feature Bout: Ryan Quinn (13-7) vs. Marcus Surin (4-0)
  • Women’s Flyweight Feature Bout: Ana Julaton (2-2) vs. Lisa Blaine (1-0)

Preliminary Card- Live Stream (MMA Latest New)- 7 pm EDT, 4 pm PDT, 12 pm UK

  • 195 lb. Catchweight Preliminary Bout: Jordan Young (6-0) vs. Alec Hooben (5-3)
  • Middleweight Preliminary Bout: Costello van Steenis (8-1) vs. Steve Skrzat (8-9)
  • Welterweight Preliminary Bout: Vinicius de Jesus (5-1) vs. Joaquin Buckley (7-1)
  • Lightweight Preliminary Bout: John Beneduce (2-1) vs. Dean Hancock (2-1)
  • Featherweight Preliminary Bout: Timothy Wheeler (1-4) vs. Pete Rogers (2-4)
  • 150 lb. Catchweight Preliminary Bout: Don Shainis (3-1) vs. Matthew Denning (5-6)
  • 150 lb. Catchweight Preliminary Bout: Frank Sforza (6-0) vs. Vovka Clay (3-2)
  • Lightweight Preliminary Bout: Kevin Carrier (Pro Debut) vs. Jose Antonio Perez (Pro Debut)
  • Flyweight Preliminary Bout: John Lopez (6-4) vs. Billy Giovanella (9-5)
Onnit Primal Bells
Continue Reading

Trending