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UFC Fight Pass Spotlight: Reneau vs Evans-Smith Breakdown

Dan Tom

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Reneau3

Marion Reneau (6-2)

Staple info:

  • Height: 5’6″ Age: 38 Weight: 135 lbs Reach: 68″
  • Last Fight: Decision loss / Holly Holm (7-15-15)
  • Camp: Elite Team (California)
  • Stance/Striking Style: Orthodox / Kickboxing
  • Risk Management: Moderate

Supplemental info:
+   IBJJF World Title(Purple Belt)
+   Brown Belt BJJ
+   3 KO victories
+   2 Submission wins
+   4 first round finishes
+   Good footwork
^   Moves well laterally
+   Fast hand speed
^   Hard right hand
+   Heavy right Thai kicks
+   Shows competent takedown defense
^   Displays awareness of hips
+   Active submissions from guard

Ashlee1

Ashlee Evans-Smith (3-1)

Staple info:

  • Height: 5’8″ Age: 28 Weight: 135 lbs Reach: 67.5″
  • Last Fight: Sub loss / Raquel Pennington (12-6-14)
  • Camp: Classic Fight Team (California)
  • Stance/Striking Style: Orthodox / Kickboxing
  • Risk Management: Moderate

Supplemental info:
+   4x All-American Wrestler
+   Amateur MMA Titles
+   Blue Belt BJJ
+   2 KO victories
+   3x State Wrestling Champ
+   Transitions well on top
^   Active & effective ground strikes
+   Excellent from side control
^   Establishes/controls from crucifix
+   Strong pressure against cage
^   Works for takedowns
+   Favors straight jab-crosses
+   Hard right Thai kicks

Summary:

Headlining the UFC Fight Pass prelims is an excellent matchup of Bantamweight contenders as Marion Reneau takes on Ashlee Evans-Smith. Coming off a loss to now-champion Holly Holm, Marion will look to rebound back into contention. Also coming off a loss, Evans-Smith will look to establish herself in the division after a year out of the Octagon.

Despite their differences in age, this fight should be very competitive in regards to the skill & athleticism of each woman. In fact, I believe that Reneau should have a distinct speed advantage in regards to hand speed. Although Marion carries an underrated guard game with her Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu Brown Belt, I suspect she will look to keep up her trend of striking for this matchup. Wielding one of the quickest and hardest jab-crosses in the division, Marion could create havoc for Ashlee should she reinstate her aggressive ways. Although we saw Reneau thrown off to the point of hesitancy in her last bout, she was in her defense, facing Holly Holm who has a movement that gives fits to most in the world.

Marion should have a footwork advantage in this matchup, particularly in the lateral movement department. Showing to consistently move and change angles, Reneau could make herself a hard target for wrestling shots while opening up counters of her own. Though Evans-Smith will be one of Marion’s most well-rounded opponents to date, Ashlee has shown to struggle when aggressively pressured standing. That being said, Ashlee’s fight-to-fight improvements will be this fights key intangibles given that she is a young fighter who has had time to improve.

Displaying said improvements, Ashlee has developed nice straight punches accompanied by hard Thai kicks on the feet. But make no mistake, on the ground abusing opposition in transition is where Evans-Smith makes her money. A ground fight is exactly what she will need to engage in to maximize her chances for victory. We have yet to see Reneau subjected to a competitive grappler or “grappling style” fight. Although Marion shows competent hip awareness in defending shots, it will be interesting to see her defend Ashlee’s attempts.

However, Evans-Smith’s takedown game is largely predicated off the fence. This means that in order to employ her game, she will need to effectively corral and contain the active Reneau. I have been a big fan of Evans-Smith since watching her compete in Tuff-N-Uff, but unless Ashlee can demonstrate different tools to safely close the distance, then I slightly favor the chances of Marion. Regardless of the odds, I assure you that this is a close match as I advocate extreme caution. Instead, enjoy what should be another fight of the night gem in the Fight Pass fold.

Official Pick: Reneau – Decision

Preliminary Card Predictions

  • Strickland def. Garcia
  • Sarafian def. Bamgbose
  • Webb def. Coy
  • Reneau def. Evans-Smith
  • Murphy def. Faszholz
  • Hamilton def. Abdurakhimov

Recommended Plays

Pieces for your parlay:

-Chris Camozzi
-Cody Garbrandt
-Dennis Bermudez

Props worth looking at:

-Shane Campbell – Inside the distance
-Cody Garbrandt- by KO/TKO
-Dennis Bermudez – by Decision

Fights to avoid:

-Derek Brunson vs Roan Carneiro
-Daniel Sarafian vs Oluwale Bamgbose
-Alex Garcia vs Sean Strickland

Fantasy MMA Picks

High Tier Picks:

-Donald Cerrone
-Cody Garbrandt
-Chris Camozzi

Low Tier Picks:

-Alex Oliveira
-Shane Campbell
-Roan Carneiro

For the complete analysis of future & past UFC events visit MixedMartialAnalyst.com and for future breakdowns & your latest in world-wide MMA news, stay tuned & follow @MMALatestnws MMALatestNews.com

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Events

*Live Updates* UFC Winnipeg Official Results

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The UFC returns to Canada for the final Fight Night card of 2017. In the cold of Winnipeg, Manitoba, the UFC will host eleven of the originally twelve scheduled fights. Unfortunately, Tim Elliot will not fight in the north country. His scheduled opponent, Pietro Menga, a newcomer to the promotions roster, failed to make weight after taking the bout with just over a weeks notice.

An exciting main card will be capped off with a potential contender eliminator bout featuring, Robbie Lawler and Rafael Dos Anjos. The former champions (Lawler at welterweight, Dos Anjos at lightweight) both put together impressive win streaks which dispatched top contenders in their respective divisions. Elsewhere on the main card, Santiago Ponzinibbio takes on the outspoken Mike Perry.

The card begins on UFC Fight Pass at 4:30/1:30 ETPT.

UFC Winnipeg Official Results:

MAIN CARD – FOX – 8PM/5PM ETPT

  • #2 Robbie Lawler (28-11) vs. #4 Rafael Dos Anjos (27-9) – Welterweight bout
    • Result: Rafael Dos Anjos def. Robbie Lawler via unanimous decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
  • #3 Ricardo Lamas (18-5) vs. Josh Emmett (12-1) – Catchweight bout (148.5 lbs)
    • Result: Josh Emmett def. Ricardo Lamas via KO (punch) 4:33 round 1
  • #10 Santiago Ponzinibbio (25-3) vs. Mike Perry (11-1) – Welterweight bout
    • Result: Santiago Ponzinibbio def. Mike Perry via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
  • #3 Glover Teixeira (26-6) vs. #7 Misha Cirkunov (13-3) – Light Heavyweight bout
    • Result: Glover Teixeira def. Misha Cirkunov via TKO (punches) 2:45  round 1

PRELIMINARY CARD – FS1 – 5PM/2PM ETPT

  • #14 Jared Cannonier (10-2) vs #15 Jan Blachowicz (20-7) – Light Heavyweight bout
    • Result: Jan Blachowicz def. Jared Cannonier via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
  • Julian Marquez (6-1) vs. Darren Stewart (7-2) – Middleweight bout
    • Result: Julian Marquez def. Darren Stewart via submission (standing guillotine) 2:42 round 2
  • Chad Laprise (13-2) vs. Galore Bofando (5-2) – Welterweight bout
    • Result: Chad Laprise def. Galore Bofando via TKO (punches) 4:10 round 1
  • Nordine Taleb (13-4) vs Danny Roberts (14-2) – Welterweight bout
    • Result: Nordine Taleb def. Danny Roberts via KO (head kick and punch) :59 round 1
  • John Makdessi (14-6) vs Abel Trujillo (15-7) – Lightweight bout
    • Result: John Makdessi def. Abel Trujillo via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
  • Alessio Di Chirico (10-2) vs Oluwale Bamgbose (6-3) – Middleweight bout
    • Result: Alessio Di Chirico def. Oluwale Bamgbose via KO (knee) 2:14 round 2

EARLY PRELIMINARY CARD – UFC FIGHT PASS – 4:30PM/1:30PM ETPT

  • Jordan Mein (29-12) vs. Erick Silva (19-8) – Welterweight bout
    • Result: Jordan Mein def. Erick Silva via unanimous decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
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Fight Announcements

Gilbert Burns vs. Olivier Aubin-Mercier Added to UFC Orlando

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The UFC has now added more bouts to the front end of their 2018 schedule. Gilbert Burns (13-2, 5-2 UFC) will face Olivier Aubin-Mercier (10-2, 6-2 UFC) in Orlando, Florida on February 24th, 2018.

Alongside a few other high-profile fight announcements, is the addition to the UFC Orlando, Florida card. The two lightweights will join Jake Collier and Marcin Prachnio, as the second fight set for the event.

It has been a while since the UFC hosted an event in the state of Florida. Last seen by the Floridians was UFC on Fox: Texeira vs. Evans, on April 16, 2016 in Tampa Bay. The card was a success, despite the cancellation of its planned main event between Tony Ferguson and Khabib Nurmagomedov. Drawing a gate of $1.05 million and 2.13 million viewers.

Gilbert Burns signed with the UFC after accumulating an undefeated record of 8-0. His first loss came in his home country of Brazil, as Rashid Magomedov defeated him via unanimous decision at UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Henderson 3, in November of 2015.

In his most recent bout, Burns defeated Jason Saggo by KO with five seconds remaining in the second round at UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch.

Aubin-Mercier will come into the contest as a winner in his last three bouts. The Canadian fighter trains out of the Tristar gym, alongside legends such as Georges St. Pierre and head coach, Firas Zahabi.

In 2011, Aubin-Mercier was chosen to compete on The Ultimate Fighter: Nations. Competing in the welterweight bracket, he became a finalist by defeating both, Jake Mathews (unanimous decision) and Richard Walsh (rear naked choke). In the finale, Aubin-Mercier lost to Chad Laprise by split decision.

UFC Orlando will take place at the Amway Center in Orlando, Florida on February 24th, 2018.

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Fight Announcements

Eryk Anders vs. Lyoto Machida Officially Headlines UFC Belem

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Eryk Anders vs. Lyoto Machida is officially booked to headline UFC Belem in Brazil.

Following his unanimous decision victory over Markus Perez on last weekends, UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Swanson, undefeated middleweight, Eryk Anders, called for the match-up with former UFC light heavyweight champion, Lyoto Machida. The UFC heard, and obliged.

First reported by The MMA Kings (@mma_kings.)

Anders holds a 2-0 undefeated record in the UFC. The Alabama native made his promotional debut against Rafael Nata in July of this year. A bout he took on short notice, replacing Alessio di Chirico whom withdrew from the fight due to a neck injury. Anders defeated Natal by knockout in the first round that night at UFC Long Island.

Prior to his indoctrination to MMA, the undefeated middleweight played for the University of Alabama football team, between 2006-2009.

Machida recently returned to the UFC roster after an 18-month suspension handed down by USADA, stemming from a failed out-of-competition test leading up to his April 2016 contest against Dan Henderson.

In his return to the octagon, Machida faced Derek Brunson in the main-event of the UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida, in Sao Paulo, Brazil. “The Dragon” lost the bout via first round KO.

UFC Belem, Brazil is scheduled for February 3rd, 2018, at the Mangueirinho Arena. The card will also feature the flyweight debut for Valentina Shevchenko as she faces Priscila Cachoeira

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