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UFC ON FOX 17 “Prelim Spotlight”: Oliveira vs Jury Breakdown

Dan Tom

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DuBronx2

Charles Oliveira (20-5)

Staple info:

  • Height: 5’11” Age: 26 Weight: 145 lbs Reach: 74″
  • Last Fight: TKO loss / Max Holloway (8-23-15)
  • Camp: Macaco Gold Team (Brazil)
  • Stance/Striking Style: Orthodox / Muay Thai
  • Risk Management: Fair
  • Overall Fight Grade: B

Supplemental info:
+   Brown Belt BJJ
+   12 Submission wins
+   6 KO victories
+   9 first round finishes
+   90% finish rate
+   Accurate left hook
+   Improved wrestling
+/-Will pull guard
+   Active bottom game
+   Dangerous in transitions
^   Always looks for submissions
+   Crafty clinch game
^   Hard knees in close
+   Consistent pressure
+/-Reverts to shell defense
–    Head upright & high
^   Right hand availabilites

Jury2

Myles Jury (15-1)

Staple info:

  • Height: 5’11” Age: 27 Weight: 145 lbs Reach: 73″
  • Last Fight: Decision loss / Donald Cerrone (1-3-15)
  • Camp: Power MMA (Arizona)
  • Stance/Striking Style: Orthodox / Kickboxing
  • Risk Management: Good
  • Overall Fight Grade: B

Supplemental info:
+   TUF 15 Alum
+   Black Belt BJJ
+   7 KO victories
+   11 first round finishes
+   5 Submission wins
+   Stopping power
+   Accurate right hand
^   Check right hook in retreat
+   Switches to Southpaw
^   Body kicks & TD shots
+   Manages distance well
^   Good lateral movement
+   Technical TD transitions
+   Strong top game
^   Excellent ground strikes
+/-Leans head heavily right
+/-First fight at Featherweight

Summary:

In what I consider to be this cards sleeper “Fight of the Night”, Myles Jury makes his return at Featherweight as he draws the always deadly Charles “Du Bronx” Oliveira. With both men coming off hard losses(in different ways), expect each man in top form to re-establish themselves amongst divisions the Top 10. Aside from the common theme of bouncing back from losses, the clear Intangibles heading into this is Jury’s transition from camps, and it’s subsequent lay-off(nearly one year since last fight). Though his past home of Alliance MMA & his new home of Power MMA are both great gyms, we’ve seen even high level fighters take a fight-or-two to adjust and integrate(in hit or miss fashion) with new technique’s and approaches.

Less we not forget, Myles is still very young in his career and given the trend of fight-to-fight improvements, we could see an entirely different “Fury” Jury here. In looking at Myles style, it’s his movement  that stands out as a key tie-in to his game, and I believe will be a key factor in this fight as well. Taking influence from his former training partner Dominic Cruz, Jury possesses similar but dialed down competency of lateral movement and transitions. He will however be forced to work in this fight as Oliveira’s constant forward pressure should be prevalent here(As seen in his fight with Jury’s friend Jeremy Stephens).

If Myles moves away from his movement game, and shows the plotting power adjustments as his teammate Johnny Case did in his last fight(a similarly styled fighter who transitioned at the same time), Jury may make himself more available to the sticky pressure game of “Du Bronx”. Despite Jiu-Jitsu being the strong point of Myles game(as he holds a Black Belt), I don’t suspect plan A will be to take Charles to the ground as I give Oliveira the edge in entanglements. I believe Jury’s last fight with Cowboy opened his eyes(especially on the ground), and I suspect he’ll look to keep this one standing where I believe he holds a better hand.

Not just being able to move on his feet, Jury has also shown he can hit while moving backwards as he wields an accurate check right hook when stepping back to Southpaw. Keeping his head upright(and often lacking movement), Oliveira has shown to be vulnerable to right hands in particular as he’s been hit & hurt by them in 6 of his last 10 fights. When Charles elects for defense, he’ll often revert to a shell defense which may also play to Jury’s arsenal. As Myles will make his afore-mentioned stance switches, he favors a mean body kick or level-change(should he chose to play that game). Body shots should especially  have availabilities as 2/3 of Oliveira’s TKO losses were initiated by body shots(the other being freak injury).

Jury will have to mind his tendency to lean heavily right as “Du Bronx” fires an accurate left hook, but overall I see Myles landing the more quality shots standing. Charles best chances in this fight will be forcing his classic “Sticky-Action” by initiating clinches(where he lands effective knees), or forcing wrestling shots to cage pressure(as he’s shown improved takedowns & crafty guard pulls). Intangibles aside, this one is going to come down to distance management, and from the footage I’ve studied I’m gonna side with Jury to get it done. But rest assured,”Du Bronx” won’t make it an easy night and will be live as long as this one lasts.

Official Pick: Jury – Decision

Preliminary Card Predictions

  • Randa Markos def. Karolina Kowalkiewicz*Main Card
  • Myles Jury def. Charles Oliveira
  • CB Dolloway def. Nate Marquardt
  • Sara Kaufman def. Valentina Schevchenko
  • Tamdan McCrory def. Josh Samman
  • Nick Lentz def. Danny Castillo
  • Cole Miller def. jim Alers
  • Leon Edwards def. Kamaru Usman
  • Hayder Hassan def. Vincente Luque
  • Francis Ngannou def. Luis Henrique

Recommended Plays

Fantasy MMA Picks

High Tier Picks:

-Rafael Dos Anjos
-Junior Dos Santos

Low Tier Picks:

-Nate Diaz
-Charles Oliveira

Pieces for your parlay:

-Junior Dos Santos
-Rafael Dos Anjos
-CB Dolloway

Props worth looking at:

-Jury – Decision
-Dolloway – Inside the distance

Fights to avoid:

-Cole Miller vs Jim Alers
-Josh Samman vs Tamdan Mcrory

For the complete analysis of future & past UFC events visit MixedMartialAnalyst.com and for future breakdowns & your latest in world-wide MMA news, stay tuned & follow @MMALatestnws MMALatestNews.com

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Stephen Thompson wants Rafael dos Anjos in contender eliminator bout

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Over the weekend, Rafael dos Anjos defeated Robbie Lawler at UFC Fight Night: Winnipeg, in dominant fashion via unanimous decision. The main event of the Canadian event was Dos Anjos’ third victory in as many fights at welterweight. The former UFC lightweight champion moved up in weight after suffering two consecutive losses. First, relinquishing his championship title to Eddie Alvarez, then falling to current interim lightweight champion, Tony Ferguson. Although the Brazilian had fought at the 155-pound weight limit exclusively in his career, his weight cut in order to reach the lightweight limit is admittedly brutal.

When talking with FloCombat, the top welterweight contender claimed, “It is not worth it [the weight cut] considering the amount I’m earning today. This was one of my motivations to change to welterweight. I don’t need to kill myself and earn this salary.” He further explained the agony of making the weight limit, “I want to avoid those last 15 pounds. That is terror and panic. It’s almost death. I don’t need to face that anymore. I want to fight well and happy, get in there strong and in good shape”.

Now that Dos Anjos has arrived at welterweight with such success, he believes he deserves a shot at Tyron Woodley and the 170-pound belt.

This is a sentiment that UFC president Dana White seems to agree with. At the Toronto press conference, White fielded a question on whether or not the winner of the Lawler vs. Dos Anjos match-up would yield a title contender, “Yup,” he responded. Later in the press event, White further clarified Dos Anjos’ position in the welterweight ranks, “(RDA) just had a great win to get himself back into contention and a win over Robbie Lawler obviously would do it”.

Yet, another top-ranked welterweight does not agree. Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson wants a third crack at welterweight gold, and he believes Dos Anjos is his ticket back to title contention.

What makes this challenge intriguing? The status of current welterweight champion, Tyron Woodley. Last week, Woodley announced on his TMZ show, The Hollywood Beatdown, he would be having surgery. The champion stated, “I’m going to go ahead and get this shoulder repaired. I’ve been saying, ‘You know what, I don’t want to get it cut on, I don’t want to get it repaired.’ But if there’s no fight that really makes a ton of sense for me to take the risk, to not be 100 percent with my shoulder, then I’m going to go ahead and have it repaired. They’re not going to do a full orthopedic rehabilitation, but they’re going to do a scope and they’re going to anchor down some sides. Then I’m going to get some PRP (platelet-rich plasma), some stem cells.” A timetable for his return is not readily available.

As the division stands, the truly deserving of the next welterweight title shot would be either Thompson or Dos Anjos. The recent credentials of both garner such status. Thompson most recently defeated rising contender, Jorge Masvidal at UFC 217. Before his early November victory over Masvidal, the undefeated kick-boxer challenged for the belt twice, consecutively. While he was unsuccessful in both attempts to earn the belt, each fight was extremely close. The first of which, scored a majority draw.

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Events

*Live Updates* UFC Winnipeg Official Results

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The UFC returns to Canada for the final Fight Night card of 2017. In the cold of Winnipeg, Manitoba, the UFC will host eleven of the originally twelve scheduled fights. Unfortunately, Tim Elliot will not fight in the north country. His scheduled opponent, Pietro Menga, a newcomer to the promotions roster, failed to make weight after taking the bout with just over a weeks notice.

An exciting main card will be capped off with a potential contender eliminator bout featuring, Robbie Lawler and Rafael Dos Anjos. The former champions (Lawler at welterweight, Dos Anjos at lightweight) both put together impressive win streaks which dispatched top contenders in their respective divisions. Elsewhere on the main card, Santiago Ponzinibbio takes on the outspoken Mike Perry.

The card begins on UFC Fight Pass at 4:30/1:30 ETPT.

UFC Winnipeg Official Results:

MAIN CARD – FOX – 8PM/5PM ETPT

  • #2 Robbie Lawler (28-11) vs. #4 Rafael Dos Anjos (27-9) – Welterweight bout
    • Result: Rafael Dos Anjos def. Robbie Lawler via unanimous decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
  • #3 Ricardo Lamas (18-5) vs. Josh Emmett (12-1) – Catchweight bout (148.5 lbs)
    • Result: Josh Emmett def. Ricardo Lamas via KO (punch) 4:33 round 1
  • #10 Santiago Ponzinibbio (25-3) vs. Mike Perry (11-1) – Welterweight bout
    • Result: Santiago Ponzinibbio def. Mike Perry via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
  • #3 Glover Teixeira (26-6) vs. #7 Misha Cirkunov (13-3) – Light Heavyweight bout
    • Result: Glover Teixeira def. Misha Cirkunov via TKO (punches) 2:45  round 1

PRELIMINARY CARD – FS1 – 5PM/2PM ETPT

  • #14 Jared Cannonier (10-2) vs #15 Jan Blachowicz (20-7) – Light Heavyweight bout
    • Result: Jan Blachowicz def. Jared Cannonier via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
  • Julian Marquez (6-1) vs. Darren Stewart (7-2) – Middleweight bout
    • Result: Julian Marquez def. Darren Stewart via submission (standing guillotine) 2:42 round 2
  • Chad Laprise (13-2) vs. Galore Bofando (5-2) – Welterweight bout
    • Result: Chad Laprise def. Galore Bofando via TKO (punches) 4:10 round 1
  • Nordine Taleb (13-4) vs Danny Roberts (14-2) – Welterweight bout
    • Result: Nordine Taleb def. Danny Roberts via KO (head kick and punch) :59 round 1
  • John Makdessi (14-6) vs Abel Trujillo (15-7) – Lightweight bout
    • Result: John Makdessi def. Abel Trujillo via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
  • Alessio Di Chirico (10-2) vs Oluwale Bamgbose (6-3) – Middleweight bout
    • Result: Alessio Di Chirico def. Oluwale Bamgbose via KO (knee) 2:14 round 2

EARLY PRELIMINARY CARD – UFC FIGHT PASS – 4:30PM/1:30PM ETPT

  • Jordan Mein (29-12) vs. Erick Silva (19-8) – Welterweight bout
    • Result: Jordan Mein def. Erick Silva via unanimous decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
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Fight Announcements

Gilbert Burns vs. Olivier Aubin-Mercier Added to UFC Orlando

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The UFC has now added more bouts to the front end of their 2018 schedule. Gilbert Burns (13-2, 5-2 UFC) will face Olivier Aubin-Mercier (10-2, 6-2 UFC) in Orlando, Florida on February 24th, 2018.

Alongside a few other high-profile fight announcements, is the addition to the UFC Orlando, Florida card. The two lightweights will join Jake Collier and Marcin Prachnio, as the second fight set for the event.

It has been a while since the UFC hosted an event in the state of Florida. Last seen by the Floridians was UFC on Fox: Texeira vs. Evans, on April 16, 2016 in Tampa Bay. The card was a success, despite the cancellation of its planned main event between Tony Ferguson and Khabib Nurmagomedov. Drawing a gate of $1.05 million and 2.13 million viewers.

Gilbert Burns signed with the UFC after accumulating an undefeated record of 8-0. His first loss came in his home country of Brazil, as Rashid Magomedov defeated him via unanimous decision at UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Henderson 3, in November of 2015.

In his most recent bout, Burns defeated Jason Saggo by KO with five seconds remaining in the second round at UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch.

Aubin-Mercier will come into the contest as a winner in his last three bouts. The Canadian fighter trains out of the Tristar gym, alongside legends such as Georges St. Pierre and head coach, Firas Zahabi.

In 2011, Aubin-Mercier was chosen to compete on The Ultimate Fighter: Nations. Competing in the welterweight bracket, he became a finalist by defeating both, Jake Mathews (unanimous decision) and Richard Walsh (rear naked choke). In the finale, Aubin-Mercier lost to Chad Laprise by split decision.

UFC Orlando will take place at the Amway Center in Orlando, Florida on February 24th, 2018.

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