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UFC ON FOX 17 “Prelim Spotlight”: Oliveira vs Jury Breakdown

Dan Tom

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DuBronx2

Charles Oliveira (20-5)

Staple info:

  • Height: 5’11” Age: 26 Weight: 145 lbs Reach: 74″
  • Last Fight: TKO loss / Max Holloway (8-23-15)
  • Camp: Macaco Gold Team (Brazil)
  • Stance/Striking Style: Orthodox / Muay Thai
  • Risk Management: Fair
  • Overall Fight Grade: B

Supplemental info:
+   Brown Belt BJJ
+   12 Submission wins
+   6 KO victories
+   9 first round finishes
+   90% finish rate
+   Accurate left hook
+   Improved wrestling
+/-Will pull guard
+   Active bottom game
+   Dangerous in transitions
^   Always looks for submissions
+   Crafty clinch game
^   Hard knees in close
+   Consistent pressure
+/-Reverts to shell defense
–    Head upright & high
^   Right hand availabilites

Jury2

Myles Jury (15-1)

Staple info:

  • Height: 5’11” Age: 27 Weight: 145 lbs Reach: 73″
  • Last Fight: Decision loss / Donald Cerrone (1-3-15)
  • Camp: Power MMA (Arizona)
  • Stance/Striking Style: Orthodox / Kickboxing
  • Risk Management: Good
  • Overall Fight Grade: B

Supplemental info:
+   TUF 15 Alum
+   Black Belt BJJ
+   7 KO victories
+   11 first round finishes
+   5 Submission wins
+   Stopping power
+   Accurate right hand
^   Check right hook in retreat
+   Switches to Southpaw
^   Body kicks & TD shots
+   Manages distance well
^   Good lateral movement
+   Technical TD transitions
+   Strong top game
^   Excellent ground strikes
+/-Leans head heavily right
+/-First fight at Featherweight

Summary:

In what I consider to be this cards sleeper “Fight of the Night”, Myles Jury makes his return at Featherweight as he draws the always deadly Charles “Du Bronx” Oliveira. With both men coming off hard losses(in different ways), expect each man in top form to re-establish themselves amongst divisions the Top 10. Aside from the common theme of bouncing back from losses, the clear Intangibles heading into this is Jury’s transition from camps, and it’s subsequent lay-off(nearly one year since last fight). Though his past home of Alliance MMA & his new home of Power MMA are both great gyms, we’ve seen even high level fighters take a fight-or-two to adjust and integrate(in hit or miss fashion) with new technique’s and approaches.

Less we not forget, Myles is still very young in his career and given the trend of fight-to-fight improvements, we could see an entirely different “Fury” Jury here. In looking at Myles style, it’s his movement  that stands out as a key tie-in to his game, and I believe will be a key factor in this fight as well. Taking influence from his former training partner Dominic Cruz, Jury possesses similar but dialed down competency of lateral movement and transitions. He will however be forced to work in this fight as Oliveira’s constant forward pressure should be prevalent here(As seen in his fight with Jury’s friend Jeremy Stephens).

If Myles moves away from his movement game, and shows the plotting power adjustments as his teammate Johnny Case did in his last fight(a similarly styled fighter who transitioned at the same time), Jury may make himself more available to the sticky pressure game of “Du Bronx”. Despite Jiu-Jitsu being the strong point of Myles game(as he holds a Black Belt), I don’t suspect plan A will be to take Charles to the ground as I give Oliveira the edge in entanglements. I believe Jury’s last fight with Cowboy opened his eyes(especially on the ground), and I suspect he’ll look to keep this one standing where I believe he holds a better hand.

Not just being able to move on his feet, Jury has also shown he can hit while moving backwards as he wields an accurate check right hook when stepping back to Southpaw. Keeping his head upright(and often lacking movement), Oliveira has shown to be vulnerable to right hands in particular as he’s been hit & hurt by them in 6 of his last 10 fights. When Charles elects for defense, he’ll often revert to a shell defense which may also play to Jury’s arsenal. As Myles will make his afore-mentioned stance switches, he favors a mean body kick or level-change(should he chose to play that game). Body shots should especially  have availabilities as 2/3 of Oliveira’s TKO losses were initiated by body shots(the other being freak injury).

Jury will have to mind his tendency to lean heavily right as “Du Bronx” fires an accurate left hook, but overall I see Myles landing the more quality shots standing. Charles best chances in this fight will be forcing his classic “Sticky-Action” by initiating clinches(where he lands effective knees), or forcing wrestling shots to cage pressure(as he’s shown improved takedowns & crafty guard pulls). Intangibles aside, this one is going to come down to distance management, and from the footage I’ve studied I’m gonna side with Jury to get it done. But rest assured,”Du Bronx” won’t make it an easy night and will be live as long as this one lasts.

Official Pick: Jury – Decision

Preliminary Card Predictions

  • Randa Markos def. Karolina Kowalkiewicz*Main Card
  • Myles Jury def. Charles Oliveira
  • CB Dolloway def. Nate Marquardt
  • Sara Kaufman def. Valentina Schevchenko
  • Tamdan McCrory def. Josh Samman
  • Nick Lentz def. Danny Castillo
  • Cole Miller def. jim Alers
  • Leon Edwards def. Kamaru Usman
  • Hayder Hassan def. Vincente Luque
  • Francis Ngannou def. Luis Henrique

Recommended Plays

Fantasy MMA Picks

High Tier Picks:

-Rafael Dos Anjos
-Junior Dos Santos

Low Tier Picks:

-Nate Diaz
-Charles Oliveira

Pieces for your parlay:

-Junior Dos Santos
-Rafael Dos Anjos
-CB Dolloway

Props worth looking at:

-Jury – Decision
-Dolloway – Inside the distance

Fights to avoid:

-Cole Miller vs Jim Alers
-Josh Samman vs Tamdan Mcrory

For the complete analysis of future & past UFC events visit MixedMartialAnalyst.com and for future breakdowns & your latest in world-wide MMA news, stay tuned & follow @MMALatestnws MMALatestNews.com

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Interviews

Exclusive: Derek Brunson: “Anderson was definitely a little lubed up”

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Derek Brunson fought Anderson Silva back in February of this year, at UFC 208. Brunson would go on to lose the fight by controversial unanimous decision. However, the controversies didn’t stop at the questionable decision, Brunson also claims Silva was greasing during the fight. The Wilmington, North Carolina native, posted about it on Twitter a few days ago:

Speaking with MMA Latest, Brunson explained why he believes Silva was greasing during the fight. “Anderson was definitely a little lubed up. Every time I grabbed him he was just slipping out of everything, and his takedown defense was really good that night. I was definitely curious to know why he was very slippery, which I definitely think he had some kind of substance on his body. He knows I’m a wrestler obviously, he’s an old, savvy veteran, so he was definitely trying to play all the rules and be very strategic, and make it harder for a wrestler to grab him.”

Brunson is set to face Lyoto Machida come October 28, when asked about whether he was worried about Machida greasing, considering Gegard Mousasi accused him of doing so in their fight, Brunson admitted he wasn’t too worried.

Well I’m not too worried, but like I said, I put it out there because I know they’re friends and I know, obviously, that’s kind of what the guys do when they know they’re fighting a wrestler. They want to lube their body up really good to make it hard to grab hold, Anderson did a great job defending my takedowns. It’s because he was all greased up so he was able to stop a lot of them. When I grab guys in the clinch, it’s very tough for them to get away and I’m pretty good with my Greco takedown. He was pretty much pulling through my clinch when I had a tight grip on him and if you have some kind of substance on your body it’s easy to pull them.”

Neither Silva nor his management have commented on the greasing allegations. Anderson Silva makes his return against Kelvin Gastelum later this year, in China. While Brunson makes his return to the Octagon on October 28th, in Brazil, where he looks to add Lyoto Machida’s name to his impressive list of victories.

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Announcement

Ovince Saint Preux Steps in to Face Corey Anderson at UFC 217

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UFC 217 just got even more interesting. Earlier this week, Patrick Cummins pulled out of his light heavyweight matchup with Corey Anderson due to a Staph infection. Corey “Overtime” Anderson was not happy with his opponents decision, even calling out his opponent on Instagram asking how Cummins could, “call it quits so far from fight night”.

The UFC left Anderson on the card, and he found an opponent through the magic of Twitter. Ovince Saint Preux tweeted out directly to Anderson stating:

It didn’t take long for Anderson to respond agreeing to the fight, tagging Mick Maynard and Dana White in his response.

Only a few short hours later, the fight announcement came from the official UFC twitter account.

 

This top 10 Light Heavyweight matchup should add to an already amazing card coming in November at Madison Square Garden. Saint Preux is coming off of back to back wins both due to the very rare von flue choke, he finds himself ranked #7th in the latest edition of the 205-pound rankings. Corey “Overtime” Anderson is 4-2 in his last 6 fights, but is coming off a brutal first round knockout loss to Jimi Manuwa in March.

With such a exciting fight added to this card, what do you see happening November 4th?  Will Corey Anderson bounce back and look to jump into the top 5 of the rankings, or will Ovince Saint Preux go for a third straight von flue choke? Let us know.

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Announcement

*Watch* Bellator 185 Weigh in: Live Stream, Results

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Watch the live weigh-ins for Bellator 185 here.

Gegard Mousasi takes on Alexander Slemenko live this Friday night October 20th at the Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville CT. This is the first appearance for Mousasi in the Bellator cage as he looks to secure a title shot with a win over the very tough former Bellator champion Slemenko. Joining these men of the main card will be a pair of welterweights as Neiman Gracie from the famous Gracie BJJ family takes on Zak Bucia in the co-main event.

Full Weigh-in Results: (Updated in real time)

Main Card:

Gegard Mousasi (185) vs. Alexander Shlemenko (186)
Neiman Gracie (170.5) vs. Zak Bucia (170)
Heather Hardy (126) vs. Kristina Williams (126)
Ryan Quinn (155.5) vs. Marcus Surin (155)
Ana Julaton (125.5) vs. Lisa Blaine (122)

Preliminary Card:

Jordan Young (200) vs. Alec Hooben (194)
Costello van Steenis (185) vs. Steve Skrzat (186)
Vinicius de Jesus (170) vs. Joaquin Buckley (171)
John Beneduce (154.5) vs. Dean Hancock (155)
Timothy Wheeler (144) vs. Pete Rogers (144)
Don Shainis (150) vs. Matthew Denning (149)
Frank Sforza (149) vs. Vovka Clay (150)
Kevin Carrier (156) vs. Jose Antonio Perez (153)
John Lopez (126) vs. Billy Giovanella (125)

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